Currently in the Atlantic — August 30 2022

Currently in the Atlantic — August 30, 2022

Still have the hat 47 years later! (But not the beard)

The weather, currently.

Where did the "Hurricane" nickname come from? Another early picture from the FIRST chase year in The Weather Channel history in 1985.

Continued good model agreement of track north of Caribbean
Water Vapor loop. Dark=dry Green=moist

A recent water vapor loop is above. Those bluish colors are unusually dry air. And that is where the most likely tropical development is located (Invest 91L). It's given a high likelihood of development by NHC. But if you compare the WV to the location and forecast track, there's an awful lot of dry air to get through. Also:

 1. More African dust than normal

 2. More wind shear (varying wind speed and directions as we go higher in the atmosphere).

This is the historical peak of hurricane season, and the water is warm. But the tropical maps look a LOT different than they did in 2005 this week as the catastrophic Hurricane Katrina hit the Louisiana/Mississippi coast or last year when Hurricane Ida hit.

So far, we've been fortunate to have the "quietest" August in 30 years in the Tropical Atlantic. There's plenty of time in the season yet to come.

I'll be doing regular updates here now that there are actual things to track. Don't expect to see things like 10-day GFS forecast maps here, but we will discuss potential, possibilities, and threats. And also, what impact Climate Change may be having on the season and even individual storms. Stay tuned.

My current links are @HurricaneNBC10 (just retired) and @HurrSchwartz. E-mail

Hurricane" Schwartz

What you need to know, currently.

Climate change will not affect everyone equally — both domestically and internationally. Currently fellow Anna Abraham has a story up on how developing nations and small island states are working to bring Loss and Damage finance to the forefront of the conversation.

"In response to climate disasters, vulnerable communities rely on adaptation measures (eg. building flood defenses such as embankments) to survive; but these efforts can only go so far. Based on existing emission trends, climate change has dramatically increased the number of extreme weather events, making many disasters completely unavoidable. The social and fiscal impacts of these unavoidable events are referred to as 'loss and damage.'"

It is well established that countries in the Global South are disproportionately affected by climate change. The Global North is historically responsible for an excess of 92 percent of emissions. Countries in the South, including India and China, are still well within the boundary of their fair share of global emissions."

Click here to read the full story!