Currently in the Atlantic — Oct. 10, 2022

by Glenn "Hurricane" Schwartz

Julia crossing into the Pacific

Julia did indeed make a direct hit on Nicaragua Sunday morning as a Category 1 hurricane, as expected. It has continued to move straight west, which would take it offshore into the Pacific.

Julia winds keep lowering
Track close to coast

The computer models generally agree with the continued westward track, but slow down Julia. That means a lot of rain in parts of southern Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala, and even far southern Mexico. So, the possibility of "life-threatening flash floods and mudslides" continues.

Good agreement - Julia stays close to coast

Rainfall amounts will need to be monitored over Central America until the moisture from Julia dies out. Below is the rainfall total forecast by Wednesday morning. It's not nearly as much rain as Ian produced over Florida, with the highest amounts closer to 8 inches with Julia.

Rain total by Wednesday morning from European model

We are still in the heart of hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin. Even though there are no other areas of concern at the moment, there's a lot of hurricane season left. There has even been a fair amount of development in the last 10 days of October.

Glenn "Hurricane" Schwartz     thehurricaneschwartz@gmail.com