Currently in the Atlantic - September 7th, 2022

Currently in the Atlantic - September 7th, 2022
The Weather Channel FIRST Hurricane Chase-Elena-1985

The weather, currently.

So, where were we when we left off just before the Labor Day weekend? Oh, yes, we were ending the first July 3-Aug 31 period since 1941 with NO tropical storms or hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin. Things have changed in just a few days.

But they haven't really changed that much. Earl and Danielle are still on the map, but both are fortunately far from land-and no direct threat either. More disturbances are moving off of Africa, as is typical in this peak of hurricane season. But conditions still don't favor any of them to be able to survive the trip to the U.S. (or even the Caribbean).

Why? Still no Bermuda High to steer storms west and prevent the curve out to sea. Still too much wind shear in the heart of the tropics. Still too much dry, stable air.

The first half of September represents the absolute historical peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. This week is the anniversary of the deadliest hurricane in the basin's history - the Galveston Hurricane in 1900. Here is the track:

Deadliest hurricane in History of U.S.

To read the amazing story of this tragic storm (and the forecast and warning mistakes that made it so deadly), I recommend reading "Isaac's Storm". It's one of the best books on weather ever written, with a lesson in humility that many private forecasters of today have yet to learn.

Other monster U.S. hurricane strikes during the first half of September: 1935 (Fl. Keys), 1944, 1960 (Donna), 1999 (Floyd), 2003 (Isabel), 2004 (Frances), 2004 (Ivan), 2008 (Ike), 2017 (Irma) and 2019 (Dorian). Several of those hit the East Coast, between Florida and New England. So, if we can escape over the next two weeks, the odds of a major East Coast hurricane strike go down significantly. See below:

Huge difference in storms in Eastern Atlantic Sept. to Oct.

Of course, lowered chances of something doesn't mean ZERO (or even near-zero) chances. Remember, Sandy didn't hit until late October in 2012. And with the extra ocean warmth in the North Atlantic, storms can form, track, and even strengthen farther north than "normal".

I'll be doing regular updates on this site. Don't expect to see things like 10-day GFS forecast maps here, but we will discuss potential, possibilities, and threats. And also, what impact Climate Change may be having on the season and even individual storms. Stay tuned.

E-mail: thehurricaneschwartz@gmail.com

Glenn "Hurricane" Schwartz

What you need to know, currently.

A historic late season heatwave in California could lead to black outs across the state as electricity demand skyrockets. According to the California Independent System Operator, which manages the majority of the states electricity, demand could break all time records Tuesday afternoon.

On Monday, highs across the state surpasses 100°F in the Bay Area. The national weather service issued an excessive heat warning that is expected to last through Thursday, with highs up to 116°F. In order to avoid rolling blackouts similar to the devastating ones from 2020, state officials are calling on residents to reduce the use of electricity and to keep air conditions at 78°F or higher.

For those experiencing extreme heat, Currently’s managing editor, Zaria Howell, gathered advice from our team of climate writers and meteorologists –– Renée Reizman out of Los Angeles, John Morales out of Southern Florida and Puerto Rico and Emilio Rey out of Spain –– on how to best prepare for and defend oneself against extreme heat, as the suffocating temperatures continue to increase.

The article names a list of important ways to combat things like heat exhaustion or stroke amidst extreme weather. First, it’s important to stay inside during the central hours of the day and wait out the heat’s peak. Taking frequent, cold showers, staying hydrated, wearing lightweight and light-colored clothing can also help.

Read the full Explainer on our website: Currently Explains: Extreme Heat

What you can do, currently.

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